LM Legal Services Blog

Property prices in Bulgaria have fallen by 13.57% in the first quarter of 2009 in comparison with the same period last year, according to the Global Property Guide. This time last year the Bulgarian property prices have registered an increase of 16%. Now, in 14 countries the property prices have dropped by more than 10%. The main reason for this tendency in Bulgaria is the drop in the number of foreign buyers.

According to the Global Property Guide the property market is in crisis in 27 out of 32 reviewed countries. The main reasons for this are the growing unemployment, stricter bank rules for landing and diminishing consumer confidence.

Only a few countries experienced increase of property prices. Switzerland is in the first place with a growth of 4% in the first quarter of 2009. The main reason for this is the stable demand supported by falling interest rates and the presence of a great number of foreign buyers. Next are Thailand, Austria and Israel with a price growth of 3%, shortly followed by Shanghai with 1.76%.

The planning permissions for apartment buildings which have been issued in the first three months of 2009 have been by 40% less than in the same period of 2008, according to the National Statistics Institute. 1470 projects have received planning permissions from January to March 2009. They are for 6530 apartments with a total area of 895 173 sq m. The number of the apartments has decreased by 49% and of the total area, also by 49% in comparison with the same period of 2008.

79 office buildings, as well as 978 other type of buildings – industrial, etc – have received planning permissions. The number of administrative buildings is by 21% less, while their total area has increased by 21%. The number of all other types of buildings has decreased by 36% and their total area has decreased by 44%.

The only tendency that continues into 2009 from the same period of 2008 is that the major part of the planning permissions for new apartment buildings have been issued in the large administrative centres of the country -
Burgas – 185, Sofia – 182, Varna – 170, and Plovdiv – 158. The number of newly planned apartments in Sofia is 1340, in Varna – 1 305, in Burgas – 896, in Blagoevgrad – 668 and in Plovdiv – 537.

The number of new shopping centres in Europe which will open in 2009 be about 40% lower than the forecasts made a year ago. In 2010 it is expected that this number will be even lower and the total area of the new shopping centres will not exceed 7 million sq m. These will be the lowest figures in the last five years.
Due to the recession in Europe alone the construction of newly planned shopping centres totaling 7 million square metres will be put on hold.

In 2008 in Europe 310 retail centres with a total area of 9 million sq m have been completed. Most of them were in Russia where the growth was 23% and the total area of the newly completed retail centres was 1,65 million sq m. Turkey was in the second place, closely followed by the U.K., Spain and Romania. In terms of percentage, the highest increase was in Bulgaria – 76% and in Romania – 63%.

It is expected that the current recession will have the most powerful effect in Turkey, Russia and the Ukraine. A year ago 58% of the project took place in these countries, but now only 22% of the new shopping centres are completed in these countries.

The rent of industrial plots of land in Sofia have increased by 8% or by 0,5 Euros (1 lv) per sq m in 2008 in comparison with 2007. The average rent of industrial land in the country is 6.5 Euros per square metres. This is by 1 Euros more expensive than the neighbouring countries. The reason for this situation is that more and more companies have been looking for industrial land while there have not been many plots on offer.

This year the tendency outlined by the recession is owners first to find tenants and only then to start turning their land into an industrial one. Estate agents expect that the demand for industrial land will not be affected by the recession, as it is expected that more companies will relocate from Western into Eastern Europe.

The recession has led to diversification of the rental market in Bulgaria. Many tenants are unable to pay high rent because of decreasing incomes and the landlords have reacted accordingly – in the last 12 months while in some parts of Sofia rents have increased by 15 %, in others it has decreased by 20%. The area where the property is situated is of primal importance, as well as the condition of the property itself. The size of the property is more and more important. It is very difficult to find studios as they are in demand. Their rent have remained more or less the same in the last twelve months, even in expensive parts of Sofia like Lozenets, Oborishte and Yavorov. In these areas studios can be rented for 250 Euros per month, while in the central parts of the capital the rent has decreased from 291 Euros to 257 Euros. At the same time studios is in the area of the Medical Academy now rent for 22% more than last year, the highest increase in the city.
The rent of one-bedroom apartments in the expensive areas like Boyana have decreased by 25% as there is no demand. In March 2007 a one-bedroom apartment in Boyana rented for 400 Euros per month but now it rents for 300 Euros. The tendency is the same in affluent Dianabadt and Strelbishte, while in Kniazhevo, Lagera and Mussagenitsa rents of one-bedroom apartments have increased by 15%.
The recession is most seriously felt in the renting of two-bedroom apartments. The demand is so limited that although landlords have put down rents, still tenants can not be easily found. The decrease of rents have reached 20% and in upmarket Lozenets such apartment can be rented for 570 Euros on average, which is 100 Euros less than last year.
Generally,the purchase prices of the most popular apartments have gone down to the prices of 2007.