LM Legal Services Blog

For the first time in four years there are clear signs that the interest towards holiday homes in Bulgaria has decreased. The major buyers on this market – the Irish and the English – have stopped buying. The estate agents now joke that the result of this crisis is exactly what the greens have been striving to achieve – there is no construction in the resorts whatsoever.

According to the analysts, the slump has come as a natural result of the wish of the developers to constantly increase the number of foreign buyers, taking advantage of the low prices. At the moment there are no buyers at all and many developers sell their properties well below their value. Those few developers who have free cash despite the recession do not want to invest in the overdeveloped Black Sea and mountain resorts. There the property prices have dropped so much that a studio costs as much as a new middle class car. Despite this, there are no buyers. The supply on the holiday property market is 80% higher than the demand. There are thousands of sellers and no buyers. There is no secondary market due to the low rental income.

40 000 Euros can buy you a furnished one bedroom apartment in Sunny Beach. Most buyers receive not only discounts but also fitted kitchens, furniture or at least laminated floor.

In Bansko the situation looks similar. A one bedroom apartment of 80 sq m, situated close to the gondola lift costs 38 000 Euros. Further away from the lift in the direction of the central parts of the town price fall and for 30 000 Euros investors can buy an apartment of 64 sq m. Completed furnished apartments sell for about 600 Euros per sq m.

Although the holiday homes market has reached new lows, the analysts believe that in long term there will be good prospects for its development. The recession itself has lead to to preservation of the nature and this will eventually attract new buyers and tourists. On the other hand the recession has brought new lower prices of materials and labour. Many companies which got involved in construction because of the high profits are now going bankrupt. The developers are becoming more careful and there are expectations that the new projects will be of much better quality and with better location.

Regardless of the fact that the British and Irish buyers have lost interest towards the Bulgarian market, the analysts expect that soon Russians, Poles and Scandinavians will start buying in great numbers in Bulgaria. However, they look for different products and it seems that what has been built for the British buyers will not satisfy them. The holiday apartment or house will be less important than the environment, the peace and quiet, and the services on offer.

The collapse of the banks in the West is a serious warning for the future of Bulgarian banks. In the last three-four years, the Bulgarian banks enjoyed enormous profit and record growth levels but the world financial crisis is going to put an end to this.

Almost all Bulgarian banks have started to change their development policy following September, 14.  Almost all plans for the opening of new branches have been frozen. The major problem in the banking sector is the lack of fresh money. The foreign financing has stopped and now all Bulgarian banks have focused on the domestic market to keep their growth. It is expected that a within a year a real war to attract deposits of new clients will unleash and the perks for the clients will include holidays abroad and golden watches.

However the biggest loser will be the business and the ordinary consumer. Many banks have changed their policy to attract new clients and now focus on keep the reliable clients with a good track record. It will be very difficult to get a credit if you are a new company. The price of this will be high for the Bulgarian economy – so far the banks have been the major force of the economic growth.

Bulgaria’s economic development depends heavily on the ability of the country’s production to compete on the European market.  From 2000 until 2006 the industry has experienced a speedy development. The invested capital has increased three times. The original capital has increased 3.4 times and the floating capital – 2.9 times. At the same time the effectiveness of expenses is low and the increase is insignificant. For this period one lev of expenses has resulted in 1.06 levs of income. The profitability of the invested capital is 6% – rather disappointing in comparison to the level of the interest rates of the bank credits. The increase of the production is mainly due to the increase of the number of producers, rather than good organisation. The reason for this is the structure of the industry which is still to a great extent ineffective. As result there is a necessity to develop a new strategy for the Bulgarian industry and to underline priorities. The emphasis should be on highly effective projects. Another significant problem related to this one is the decrease of the profitability of the long-term assets and the inadequate qualification of the workforce.

The situation is much better in relation to the use of the current assets. The improvement is obvious and it is expressed in the decreased time for the turn over of the material reserves and the decreased need for materials. One lev of goods has been serviced by 0.16 levs of material reserves, which is an increase of about two levs.

The short term debt to suppliers has increased and also both the number of days for the collection of the short term debts and for paying the short term debts. The ratio observed is that for one lev of receipts from clients, there are 0,83 levs of short-term debts to suppliers.

Generally, there is a tendency for the short term improvement of the financial situation of the companies and their liquidity has increased which mainly due to the good work of the management.