LM Legal Services Blog

Globally, the investments in business properties have increased by 14% in 2011 in comparison with 2010. The highest growth was in North America – 52%, followed by Europe and the Middle East – 17%. In Central and Eastern Europe, these investments have reached 19 billion Euros in 2011, which is a growth of 76% in comparison with 2010. This is 68% of the volume of their volume during the property boom years.
In 2011 the investments in business properties in Bulgaria have increased sharply in comparison with 2010. In 2010 they were 20 million Euros, while in 2011 they reached 198 million Euros, which has put the country in the first place regarding this type of investment. In the second place is Slovakia with an annual increase of 534%, followed by the Czech Republic with 366%, South Africa with 269% and Switzerland with 216%. However, the annual yield in Bulgaria has not changed – for office spaces it is about 9,5%, for shops – 9% and for industrial space it is 12%.

According to the analysts, there are three tendencies concerning the commercial property market in Bulgarian in 2012.
The first one is that the number of buil-to-suit industrial centres has increased due to the increased volume of outsourcing of light industrial production from Western Europe into Bulgaria. Bulgaria is attractive with low taxation and low cost of labour.
The second tendency is that the relocation of companies into newly build office centres has intensified due to the fact that the owners offer 5 to 7 year rental contracts at attractive prices and this allows the companies to cut costs during the recession.
The third tendency is that six new shopping centres are under construction throughout Bulgaria and of them three will open in 2012 – Bulgaria Mall, Paradise Centre and a new mall in Bourgas.

In the last quarter of 2009 the first signs of activity have appeared on the rental market of office space in Bulgaria. Analysts claim that this was due to the efforts of the owners to stimulate prospective tenants with bonuses like rent free periods and payment of the relocation. The much lower rents of newly built offices proved to be a good incentive for many companies to relocate.

The expectation in 2010 are that the size of the unoccupied office spaces will continue to grow due to the large number of new offices that are expected to be offered on the market. In the last quarter of 2009 new offices with total area of 38 200 sq m entered the market. In 2008 their total area was 65 900 sq m. The largest projects have been planned to be completed in 2010 and thus the expectations are that by the end of the current year the newly finished office space will total 360 000 sq m.

In the end of 2009 the office space in Sofia exceeded 1 million sq m of which 80% were situated on the main boulevards and in the outskirts of the city. The completion of about 460 000 sq m of office space has been delayed or frozen.

The rent was 13.50 EUR/sq m for offices class A in the last months of 2009. The average rent for the same period of 2008 was 17 EUR/sq m. The offices of class B and C are offered at 8 and 4 EUR/sq m respectively. It is expected that these levels will remain the same in 2010.

The yield from first class office space in Sofia stays at 11%.

The number of new buildings in Bulgaria has dropped by 70% on an annual basis. In the last quarter of 2009 the number of the new planning permissions was 1343,  while in the same period of 2008 they were 2452, according to the National Statistics Institute.  This huge drop has come after 5 years of permanent increase of the number of planning permissions.

The recession in the construction industry  has also had its impact on the size of the new apartments – their living area has decreased by 24% only from October to December 2009 in comparison with the previous quarter. Annually the drop has been more drastic – it has exceeded 70%.

The construction of new offices has also suffered. In the last quarter of 2010 only 63 planning permissions have been issued, which is a drop by 25% in comparison with the previous quarter and 37% on an annual basis. Most of the already finished offices are left empty, despite the decrease of the rents.

The price drop of real estates in 2009 is on average by 20% but in some parts of the country it has reached 60%. The real prices at which purchases are made in the Bulgarian capital Sofia are on average 23%  lower in comparison with the period 2007 – 2008, i.e. the average price in 2009 was 980 Euros/ sq.m.

The price drop in the other cities has not been so drastic but property prices there have not reached the levels of those in the capital. In Varna, the second Bulgarian city, the price drop in 2009 was of 14%, while  in Plovdiv and Burgas (the third and the fourth largest cities) – 15%.

Prices of properties in Sofia and in Plovdiv have dropped by approximately 17% in the third quarter of 2009 in comparison with the same period of 2008. The average real purchase prices of apartments in Sofia are similar to the ones at the end of 2007 and in the beginning of 2008. The prices of properties in the Bulgarian capital have reached their climax in the third quarter of 2008.

The situation is similar concerning office space. In the third quarter of this year the index of the average prices of offices, warehouses and shops has dropped by 26 on an annual basis. The market price of office space has reached its peak in the last quarter of 2008.

In Plovdiv the average property prices are close to the those at the end of 2007 and the beginning of 2008. Their peak similarly to Sofia was again in the third quarter of 2008.