The expectations of analysts are that the property prices in Bulgaria will continue to drop on average by 5%. The top prices fetch luxury properties in Varna on the Black Sea, where they sell on average for 1500 levs (760 Euros) per square metre, while the properties in the capital Sofia are in the second place with prices of 1468.10 levs ( 700 Euros) per square metre.
In 2012 the market of holiday properties will keep relying on the Russian buyers, as their interest towards properties in Bulgaria has not been affected by the recession like in the case of the Irish and the British buyers. The prices of some of the holiday apartments and houses have dropped by 50% since 2008 and this makes them even more attractive for the Russian buyers. The expectations that Chinese and Middle East investors will start buying properties in Bulgaria failed to materialize.

By Kevin Rose, The Independent

As property prices fall across Europe, the chance of owning a holiday home abroad may never be better. And with sterling struggling against foreign currencies – touching a six-month low against the Euro on Thursday – it may be wise to get moving sooner rather than later. But where are the bargains?

Latest figures suggest that old favourites France and Spain are regaining their popularity with buyers of holiday homes. But the picture is not so positive for investors wanting a sizeable return on their purchases, with some former European hotspots now looking decidedly chilly.

According to overseas mortgage firm Conti, 31 per cent of the enquiries it has received so far this year have been about property in France, while more than a fifth were about Spain. Clare Nessling, director at Conti, says buyers are sticking to areas they know and trust, and turning their backs on more adventurous territories such as Bulgaria, Turkey and Dubai.

Spain is maintaining its popularity with UK holiday home buyers as prices have fallen heavily due to an oversupply of properties on the market. In some cases, prices in the Costa del Sol have plummeted by 40 per cent since the peak in 2006/7.

That means for those who have always dreamed of buying a place in the sun but been put off by the cost, now is the time to take a look.

The glut of properties on the Spanish market has led one UK firm to launch a service specifically to try and find buyers for “distressed” properties, typically repossessions, probate or part-exchanged properties.

The online property company, whitehotproperty.co.uk, is currently marketing around 4,000 distressed properties in the popular tourist destinations with – in some cases – sizeable discounts. In one example, a four-bed, two-bathroom duplex apartment in Torrevieja has been reduced to €118.400 (£102,068), a 27 per cent discount on the original asking price.

Similarly, a three-bedroom villa with a pool in a tourist hotspot such as the Costas can be bought for €400,000. It would have cost around €650,000 at the height of the market three years ago.

Stuart Law, chief executive of international property investment firm Assetz, puts the British homebuyers’ continued interest in Spain down to its proximity to the UK, its sunny climate and an abundance of sandy beaches.

The addition of relatively low property prices means Brits are in a good position to buy in Spain – so long as they don’t expect investor-grade price rises. With supply outstripping demand, the situation is unattractive to the professional property developer reliant on solid returns over a relatively short period.

Law says: “Spain is a very difficult place to be buying from an investment point of view, particularly if you are keen on covering all of your costs with rent. Oversupply is impacting the rental market and the exchange rate isn’t helping.

“If someone has set their mind on a holiday home that they are not going to rent out then Spain is ideal, and the very problem that would cause an issue to an investor is what is helping push prices down. There is massive choice, and also some very good pricing.”

However, although Spain may have plenty of appeal, the European continental property market as a whole has not yet recovered. The Netherlands, Denmark, Slovenia and Slovakia have all seen double-digit house price falls over the second quarter of the year.

But the leading horror story is Bulgaria. The former hotspot in the Balkans is now a no-go area for lenders and buyers alike, with its land registry data showing that real estate transactions crashed by 35 per cent year-on-year in the first half of 2009.

Land prices in the previously fashionable Black Sea area fell by an average of 40 per cent in the first eight months of 2009 compared to the same period in 2008, according to the International Real Estate Federation in Bulgaria. All of Bulgaria’s major cities and seaside resorts, including Sofia, Varna and Samokov, as well as winter resort Borovets, reported falls in the region of 50 per cent over the same period.

Stuart Law cautions Brits to avoid Bulgaria at all costs. He says: “It’s just horrific; where is the bottom of the market? Our question has always been ‘why would you bother?’ There are so many better places, either closer, nicer or just as cheap. Comparing Spain to Bulgaria… there really isn’t any choice. Spain ticks almost every box and is much closer and easier?”

He suggests that if potential holiday homebuyers want to go further afield, they should consider the US, where some bargains can be found. “Anybody who has ever aspired to own a holiday home in Florida and hasn’t looked recently is going to be genuinely shocked by what they could get. We’ve seen Orlando townhouses in prime resorts at €50,000-€70,000.”

One reason that many are avoiding Europe at the moment is the state of the pound. Over the past two years there has been unprecedented volatility in the currency markets, with the value of sterling fluctuating by over 30 per cent against the euro. The pound currently buys around €1.1, with many currency analysts predicting that parity will occur very soon.

Stephen Hughes, a director of Foreign Currency Direct, fears that sterling is “collapsing”. He argues that currency traders are agreeing on one thing: “sterling is likely to fall fast and far.”

With further falls probable, what should existing or potential European homebuyers do to protect themselves? Mark Bodega, a director at currency broker HiFX, recommends that people looking to buy abroad should consider a “forward contact”. “This allows you to buy currency now and pay for it later,” he explains. “You will need to pay a 10 per cent deposit now and the 90 per cent balance upon the maturity of the contract, but it allows clients to lock into an exchange rate for up to a year.”

Julian Cunningham, from international estate agents Knight Frank, advises British sellers on the continent to reduce their asking prices. He says: “The savvy vendor is passing on any currency gain to the potential buyer in the form of a reduced asking price. But without passing on a certain percentage of that gain to the potential purchaser, it makes it a lot more difficult to do the deal.”

Holiday home heaven: Why France remains number one

It’s not difficult to see why France remains the most popular choice for Brits. Easily accessible by road, rail and air, potential buyers are not solely at the mercy of budget airlines. House prices have remained resilient in France compared to the UK, and mortgage funding is largely more attractive, too.

Nessling says: “In France, lenders have always been a little more cautious. They certainly haven’t taken the extreme view that most UK lenders did. Throughout the credit crunch we’ve still been able to get 100 per cent mortgages in France for loans over €250,000.”

More than four-fifths of mortgages in France are fixed and the majority of all new mortgages are fixed for at least one year. This lending strategy is another reason why the French property market is, on the whole, performing better than in Britain.

Despite a period of house-price falls in the country last year, prices in France actually increased by 3.9 per cent in the second quarter of this year, according to the French National Association of Real Estate Agents.

Stuart Law, chief executive of international property investment firm Assetz, agrees that mortgage lenders in France have kept their criteria largely unchanged, arguing that because they lend based on affordability, an unsustainable boom in prices in France has been prevented. He says: “In the South of France prices have barely wobbled as banks do not think they have substantial risk there.”

The ex-pats who have moved to the Bulgarian Black Sea coast are selling their properties and leaving Bulgaria in great numbers. They have lost their hope to make a profit by renting their apartments. They offer their properties for sale at prices which are 20% lower than in the last year. Studios are for sale for as little as 38 000 Euros and two-bedroom apartments are on offer for about 60 000 Euros. The second-hand car markets are full of British cars which sell at half the price of the ones with a left steering wheel. Many of the Brit who have settled in Bulgaria are pensioners and some of them find it hard to cope during the recession and sell their apartments, houses and cars.

According to the State Agency for Tourism (DAT), three-four hotels go bankrupt every week in Bulgaria. They are unable to re-pay their mortgages. Many hotels are put for sale but there are no buyers and banks repossess them but it remains unclear if the banks will be able to sell them.

It seems that Bulgaria follows the road of Spain where the state buys the bankrupted hotels and demolishes them, in order to create parks.

According to the statistics, in the first half of the last year, 820 new hotels have opened on the Black Sea coast. As result of the construction boom the number of hotels and holiday properties is much higher than the number of  the tourists.  Many hotels can not sell all their beds and their owners suffer losses. All this makes it impossible for the hoteliers to repay their mortgages and other credits and go bankrupt.

From the end of 2008 the number of new buildings in Bulgaria has decreased by 432 and the number of the apartments in them has decreased by 42.8%.

The greatest number of new apartments still are completed on the Bulgarian Black Sea coast. Only in Burgas district 1136 new apartments have been finished this winter. In second place is Varna district with 727 newly finished apartments, followed by Sofia with 580 and Plovdiv with 265. There are no new apartments in Stara Zagora and Kyustendil.

The area of the newly finished apartments in the first quarter of 2009 is 294 000 sq m which is a decrease by 16% in comparison with the same period of 2008. The size of the average living area has also diminished from 78.3 to 75.5 sq m in the same period.

The estate agents expect a real drop in the number of purchases of holiday homes at the Bulgarian Black Sea resorts. Some expect a decrease of 20%, others a much higher drop of 40 – 50% in comparison with last year.

If in previous years most of the buyers were British, now it is expected that the market will be 100% Russian. However, the devaluation of the Russian Ruble means that despite that fact that Bulgaria is one of the most popular destinations for the purchase of second homes, it is likely that the property market will shrink by 40%. Some estate agent even think that the boom of the Russian market was last year and this year the results will be less encouraging.

Property prices of holiday homes at the Black Sea have dropped by 20% and for the new season and now they start at about 650 EUR per sq m.

The Bulgarian ski resort Bansko was a typical example of the “hot market” in Easter Europe. Now, the small town is an example for the exactly the opposite.
The balloon has burst and the market of holiday properties in Bulgaria has collapsed. With this, sank the dreams for fast returns of many investors who have poured money into the region. Bansko is an emblem of the end of the hot market of holiday properties in the region. Most often the investors in the region are Brits and Irish who relied on the rental market or on the sharply increasing prices. The locals have earned some cash by selling their land, but the charm of the small town with small houses and narrow streets has disappeared forever. Now there are huge hotels and the roads are either made wider to cope with the traffic or are under construction. The holiday property market has suffered more than any other during the recession. The number of purchases has decreased by 10% at the end of the last year. The property boom in Bulgaria started in 2002 and the pivotal points were Bansko and some Black Sea resorts like Sunny Beach.
Now, when the market has collapsed, the biggest advantage of the situation take investment funds which buy properties in great numbers in the resorts at low prices and wait for the market to recover, the buyers to return and the prices to start going up again. There are buyers who are not so happy. Many British owners who bought their apartments at the Black Sea a year ago at prices exceeding 1000 Euros per square metre are ready to sell them now for as little as 500 Euros per square metre.

Russians started buying apartments in Bulgaria in bulks of 300. They buy everything at prices ranging from 300 Euros to expensive attic apartments at 2000 Euros per sq m. The Russians are attracted by the drop of prices in Bulgaria which exceeds 20% in comparison with last year. “We buy properties in bulk!” is written on billboards on the streets in Sofia and in the Bulgarian Black Sea resorts. Many Russians have decided to invest heavily in property in Bulgaria in an attempt to protect their savings in the climate of uncertainty about the future of the major Russian banks. At the same time this is badly needed influx of fresh money on the Bulgarian property market.

There are still bargains abroad to be found, explains Laura Latham, The Independent

House prices may be dropping across Europe, but the strength of the euro has put British buyers off destinations such as Spain and France. However, there are countries where you can still find good-value property.

“You get more for your money in Turkey, when compared to Spain or popular Greek resorts,” says Janet Schofield of the Turkish specialists Nicholas Homes. “Prices haven’t gone up lately, and there are definitely good deals, such as two-bedroom apartments from around £40,000 and villas with pools for around £140,000.”

Schofield says there’s also increasing demand for rental property as holidaymakers shun the Eurozone for cheaper destinations, which benefits owners who want to let their homes.

It’s a similar story in Croatia, where the market has dipped due to global economic woes. “Sellers are having to reduce prices as there are less buyers,” says Andrea Marston of Investment Group Croatia. “British vendors in particular can afford to drop as they’re still better off when they convert their money into sterling. So it’s worth negotiating.”

Marston has properties on the attractive Dalmatian coast, ranging from £90,000 for two bedrooms to three-bedroom villas with a pool for around £220,000. She claims it’s better value than Spain, where buying cheap “often means you’re a 10-minute drive from the sea, rather than a few minutes’ walk”.

Bulgaria has fallen out of favour recently, but the low cost of living means that tourism is expected to pick up. Despite sterling having lost value against the Bulgarian lev, prices are still reasonable, with apartments selling for as little as £30,000 in ski resorts such as Borovets and Bansko, and on the Black Sea coast.

“A one-bedroom new-build in the French Alps will start at £180,000, while one-bedrooms in our Bulgarian projects start at £35,500, with duplexes from £75,500,” says Veneta Cornford of Zoldi. “Coastal properties start at around the same price. We’re seeing a lot of interest in rentals, too.”

Low prices can also still be found in Morocco, which is attracting buyers who have been priced out of Europe. Apartments costing from £25,000 are in new purpose-built resorts on the Mediterranean coast around Tangier, but these areas are less popular than the cities.

Frances McKay of Francophiles says it’s possible to find lovely riads for the price of a Spanish apartment. “Marrakech is popular, but has become expensive, though you can still find renovated riads with three or four bedrooms for £260,000, and nice one-bedroom apartments from £89,000,” she says. “In Fez, we have traditional properties in need of updating from £50,000.”

McKay also has apartments and characterful properties in Essaouira, a pretty town on the Atlantic coast, from around £70,000, which she thinks are “unbelievable” bargains. “You won’t get much on Europe’s Mediterranean coast for that.”

Bargain properties: A buyer’s guide

* Be wary of buying cheap property through developers or agents with no track record. The quality may be substandard or the company could be unethical or go bust.

* Check if your chosen agent or developer is a member of a professional organisation, such as the Federation of Overseas Property Developers, Agents and Consultants (www.fopdac.com).

* Currency markets can be volatile, so it’s worth changing money via a specialist broker to get the best rate.

* Many international markets may have further to fall. Research your chosen location so that you’re ready to take advantage of any price drops.

In total 2744 new planning permissions have been issued for new buildings in the last quarter of this year in Bulgaria according to the National Statistics Institute. This is an increase by 1.85% in comparison with the previous quarter but in comparison with the last year the decrease is of 11.7%. The number of the issued planning permission in the last quarter of 2007 was 3110.

Because of the lack of demand in the last year the prices of rural properties fell dramatically. Plots of land around Sofia have decreased in price by 50%. The trend at the Bulgarian Black Sea coast is exactly the same. In the last 12 months  mainly Bulgarians bought properties near to the big cities according to Dobromir Ganev, executive director of Foros Estate agents. The main reason for this is the world financial crisis and  prospective buyers have become more cautious, especially when applying for mortgages.

A regulated plot of land of 1020 sq m situated between Sofia and Pernik has decreased by 50%  in price and it is now on offer for 12 000 levs (apprx 6 000 Euros). An old two-storey house in a village with a garden of about 1500 sq m can be purchased for 6-7 000 levs (apprx. 3 000 Euros). In the past the prices of rural properties in the area of Bansko, Sunny Beach and Burgas have been artificially increased but now they have fallen dramatically. The purchases of property for investment have almost stopped and most people buy for their own needs.

The financial crisis have affected the sales of land for the construction of industrial developments. All investors have experienced difficulties in financing and several projects in Varna and Sofia have stopped.

The sharpest fall of the prices according to analysts and advisors are in holiday properties. Due to over supply in Bansko only the prices have fallen by 48%. The number of one-bedroom apartments on offer is astonishing and prices range from 780 to 2015 Euros per sq m.

The slowing down of the Bulgarian property market is most obvious at the Black Sea resorts, namely the Sunny Beach and the Golden Sands, and in the mountain ski resorts like Bansko and Pamporovo. The price of properties there have reached their peak levels and the number of purchases has been falling. There is no demand for such properties, while the the properties on offer are many. This is the reason why the Bulgarian banks avoid financing such purchases, as well as the construction of properties along the coast. According to leading business and legal advisers, the prospective investors can not  rely on off-plan sales at the moment. Many hotels along the Bulgarian Black Sea coast have been put up for sale and there are no prospective buyers interested in them. This means that most of them will be acquired by the Bulgarian banks which credited their construction. In the long run if the intensive construction does not stop, many hotels along the coast will have to be demolished like in Spain. However, in order to do this, a new legislative framework needs to be introduced by the Bulgarian parliament, and leading solicitors have been investigating the Spanish experience and preparing the necessary amendments to the current Bulgarian laws. Generally, the lawyers and the law companies seem to be more occupied than anybody else involved in the construction business.

Away from the Black Sea and the mountain resorts, the Bulgarian property market keeps moving because traditionally Bulgarians consider buying a property not only an investment but  most of all a form of security.

Despite the looming global financial crisis. New developments open in the Bulgarian Black Sea resort of Sunny Beach.

Oasis VIP Homes and Blue Pearl Apartment Complex in Sunny Beach will be presented at the largest property exhibition on the Balkans – BalPex. Oasis VIP Homes is the first luxury development of Galaxy Property Group in Sunny Beach. The development is in Mediterranean style with a park of more than 10 000 sq.m. and with three swimming pools. This project includes also Royal Sun development with 530 apartments.

The other project Blue Pearl is a development with apartments situated in the central part of the Sunny Beach. It comprises of 85 apartments overlooking the bay with Nessebar and St. Vlas, 16 shops, barber shop, gym and two swimming pools with a bar.

Irish  company PJD Construction offersa a fully furnished holiday apartment in Privacy Beach Resort in the village of Bliznatzi, 12 km away from Varna, which will be finished at the end of 2009 with each purchase of a house at their Lough Fern Highs development in Milford. The houses at Lough Fern Highs start from 210 000 Euros . According to PJD Construction, there are only five houses left unsold due to the low consumer confidence at the moment. In order to move the market they came with the idea to offer a free holiday apartment as a gift. Since the publication of their offer PJD Construction have been inundated with phone calls and emails.

Almost 400 hotels on the Bulgarian Black Sea coast are for sale, according to Colliers. In the last year only, 20 000 new apartments have appeared on the market, while at the moment another 12 000 are in the process of construction. Half of the apartments for sale are secondary market. However, the deals with holiday apartments have decreased by 40% in comparison to last year.

According to Foros Estate Agency the cheapest properties at the Bulgarian Black Sea trade for about 850-900 Euros per square metre, while a property on the sea front in Nessebar sells for 1700 Euros per square metre. The apartments in Sunny Beach – East sell for 1650 Euros per square metre, while prices at Sunny Beach – West are significantly less at 950 Euros per square metre. Because of the great number of new apartment offered on the market in 2007 and 2008 prices have dropped.