The average decrease of  property prices in Bulgaria is by 23% in the first six months of 2009. There are areas of the country and especially cities where due to  overpricing, now the decrease is exceeds 30%. The expectations of analysts are that by the end of the year prices will decrease further by 5% to 15%.

The most significant price decrease in the capital Sofia where the prices of newly built developments in the area of Obelya have dropped by more than 40%. The lowest price drop is in Student Town – by only 10%. In the affluent Lozenets and Iztok where the price exceeded 2000 Euros/sq m in 2008,  now there is a decrease by 1/3. The decrease is similar in Liulin and Ovcha Kupel. In the down-market Banishora the lowest price of newly built apartments is 390 Euros/ sq m.  The lowest prices are in the southern and the eastern parts of the city because there many apartments have been bought off-plan as investment and now they have been completed and put on the market.

In the first half of this year buyers preferred mostly one-bedroom apartments not exceeding 50 000 Euros per sq m.  In the last month two of every ten buyers have purchased in the end a bigger and more expensive apartment than planned in the beginning due to the lower prices.  The number of owners who sell their property to buy a bigger one has increased, as the difference in the price is lower than ever.

In most cases buyers used their savings for the purchase of a property, while 44% of them have taken small mortgages or even consumer loans. 32% of the buyers who took mortgages have problems repaying them regularly but only 17% of them cannot repay their mortgage at all.

Village houses with big yards sell even under their value around Veliko Turnovo, Pernik, Sliven, Haskovo and Yambol, as owners just want to get rid of them. In smaller towns the purchase of property is rarely for the purpose of investment but mainly it is in case of change of the marital status and the recession is felt stronger on the property market. Unemployment is growing faster and first time buyers are very cautious.

From the end of 2008 the number of new buildings in Bulgaria has decreased by 432 and the number of the apartments in them has decreased by 42.8%.

The greatest number of new apartments still are completed on the Bulgarian Black Sea coast. Only in Burgas district 1136 new apartments have been finished this winter. In second place is Varna district with 727 newly finished apartments, followed by Sofia with 580 and Plovdiv with 265. There are no new apartments in Stara Zagora and Kyustendil.

The area of the newly finished apartments in the first quarter of 2009 is 294 000 sq m which is a decrease by 16% in comparison with the same period of 2008. The size of the average living area has also diminished from 78.3 to 75.5 sq m in the same period.

A repossessed one-bedroom apartment in an affluent area of Sofia can be purchased for 25 000 Euros at an auction. According to the court statistics there is a boom in the number of the auctioned repossessed properties in the last few months. The information about these auctions is displayed in the municipalities and the auctions take place at the regional courts. A repossessed property is evaluated by a judge who then auctions it at 50% of the market price. Due to the recession and the collapse of the property market, there is no interest in repossessed properties. If such a property does not sell, it is offered again at an auction a month later at a price which is further 20% decreased. The expectations are that the number of the repossessed apartments will continue to grow.

The planning permissions for apartment buildings which have been issued in the first three months of 2009 have been by 40% less than in the same period of 2008, according to the National Statistics Institute. 1470 projects have received planning permissions from January to March 2009. They are for 6530 apartments with a total area of 895 173 sq m. The number of the apartments has decreased by 49% and of the total area, also by 49% in comparison with the same period of 2008.

79 office buildings, as well as 978 other type of buildings – industrial, etc – have received planning permissions. The number of administrative buildings is by 21% less, while their total area has increased by 21%. The number of all other types of buildings has decreased by 36% and their total area has decreased by 44%.

The only tendency that continues into 2009 from the same period of 2008 is that the major part of the planning permissions for new apartment buildings have been issued in the large administrative centres of the country -
Burgas – 185, Sofia – 182, Varna – 170, and Plovdiv – 158. The number of newly planned apartments in Sofia is 1340, in Varna – 1 305, in Burgas – 896, in Blagoevgrad – 668 and in Plovdiv – 537.

The number of new buildings in Bulgaria in 2008 was 2926 which is an increase of 8,5% in comparison with 2007. Most buildings have been made of concrete and steel, according to the National Statistics Institute. The average area of a newly built apartment is 78,2 sq m, while some years ago it was 80,6 sq m. The largest average apartments are in Gabrovo and Dobrich – 121, 3 sq m – while the smallest ones are in Pernik – 54,1 sq. m.

Unlike earlier expectations the market of luxury property in Bulgaria has also experienced price decreases. Rich buyers bargain and refuse to pay the high prices for top properties in the Bulgaria. As result prices of luxury properties have dropped by 1 million levs on average according to market analysts. The most striking example is a luxury apartment close to the National Theatre in Sofia which appeared on the market last year with asking price of 2 million Euros. The total area of the apartment was 253 sq m and this was the top price for the country – of 7905 EUR per sq m. The apartment is located in a listed building constructed in 1912. A year later the seller has dropped the asking price to 1,5 million EUR or 5929 EUR per sq m.

At the same time the price of a house close to Perla Hotel in Dragalevsty has dropped by half a million Euros to 2,5 million EUR. The total area of the three-flour house is 900 sq m and it has 7 bedrooms and six bathrooms as well as inside pool, jacuzzi and sauna.

Another striking example of a price decrease of a luxury property is in the affluent suburb of Plovdiv – the village of Markovo. A year ago this property, with total are of 2417 sq m used to sell for 2,5 million EUR. In the last few months its price has dropped to 2 million Euros.

Prices of apartments in prefabricated apartment blocks are higher by 100 Euros in Sofia. In middle class areas like Mladost and Borovo in the outskirts of the capital prices of prefabricated apartments vary from 550 Euros to 900 Euros per square metre. Newly built properties in those areas vary from 450 Euros to 850 Euros per square metre.

In the central parts of Sofia the prefabricated apartments sell for 1240 Euros per sq m while newly built ones for 770 Euros.

This is due to several reasons. One of them is that some of the newly built apartments are not of good quality. Some of the owners of prefabricated apartments on the other hand keep the prices from last year in their attempt not to lose money. In order to attract buyers, the developers offer free furnishing of at least one room as a bonus. However, despite the falling prices there are only a few buyers who are ready to pay in cash. Many developers offer payment in instalments, only to attract new buyers.

Despite the fact that the number of purchases has slightly increased, there are no expectations that the property prices will increase in the next three months. To the contrary, all professionals expect further reduction of the prices.

The property prices in Bulgaria have dropped on average by 12.4% in the first three months of the year according to information of the National Statistics Institute. The sharpest price drop was in Veliko Turnovo – 25.1%, followed by Kyustendil – 21.5% and Blagoevgrad – 20.5%. The average price for the country is 1190.7 levs (608 Euros) per sq m. The most expensive apartments are in Varna – 1982 levs (1013 Euros) per sq m, closely followed by Sofia – 1980 levs per sq m.

Now is a good time to buy a property according to estate agents and there are no expectations in the next two years for the property price to start going up.

Irish estate agencies offer holiday apartments in the Bulgarian resorts at prices which 35% lower than the original ones. Part of the offer is that if the purchase is completed by the end of the month the buyers will save further 500 Euros.

In Sunny Beach on the Black Sea cost the cheapest offer is 24 990 Euros for a studio apartment. At the same time in the ski resort of Bansko studios are on offer for 20 000 Euros and generally prices at the mountain resorts are lower.

Construction projects in Bulgaria exceeding 2,5 billion Euros have been put on hold because of the recession. There are a few large projects, which do not have problems with financing. The fear of bankruptcy and the lack of free money is the reason for the investors to give up their plans for big projects and to sell their business. Some developers are prepared to sell parts of their future developments at lower price just to be able to finish their projects. On 2 April 2009 they met with Russian investors at a business meeting organised in the Russian capital Moscow. There were different projects on offer – holiday homes, residential homes, power plants, regulated and unregulated land, concrete buildings and whole residential areas. However the accent was on holiday homes and golf courses throughout Bulgaria.

Apart from the Russians the other type of investors interested in Bulgaria are those from the Middle East. Some of them are prepared to put on hold their projects in their home countries in order to buy at low prices attractive projects in Europe and in the USA.

The Bulgarian ski resort Bansko was a typical example of the “hot market” in Easter Europe. Now, the small town is an example for the exactly the opposite.
The balloon has burst and the market of holiday properties in Bulgaria has collapsed. With this, sank the dreams for fast returns of many investors who have poured money into the region. Bansko is an emblem of the end of the hot market of holiday properties in the region. Most often the investors in the region are Brits and Irish who relied on the rental market or on the sharply increasing prices. The locals have earned some cash by selling their land, but the charm of the small town with small houses and narrow streets has disappeared forever. Now there are huge hotels and the roads are either made wider to cope with the traffic or are under construction. The holiday property market has suffered more than any other during the recession. The number of purchases has decreased by 10% at the end of the last year. The property boom in Bulgaria started in 2002 and the pivotal points were Bansko and some Black Sea resorts like Sunny Beach.
Now, when the market has collapsed, the biggest advantage of the situation take investment funds which buy properties in great numbers in the resorts at low prices and wait for the market to recover, the buyers to return and the prices to start going up again. There are buyers who are not so happy. Many British owners who bought their apartments at the Black Sea a year ago at prices exceeding 1000 Euros per square metre are ready to sell them now for as little as 500 Euros per square metre.

While the property prices in Bulgaria fall, the business of letting luxury properties flourish. The rent of luxurious apartments range from 400 to 2000 Euros per month, depending on the quality of the interior. The rent of luxury villas in the beginning of the Vitosha Mountain can reach up to 11 000 Euros per month. Estate agents expect that the rents of luxury properties, especially if they are located in and around Sofia, will steadily increase during the recession. Such properties are often rented by Bulgarian emigrants who come back to Bulgaria to work for large international companies, foreign diplomats and Hollywood stars who shoot films in Bulgaria. The properties fetching the highest rent are located in the central parts of the city, close to all administrative centres and institutions. When they are vacated, they do not stay long on the property market but are rented again within 2-3 weeks. Very often luxury villas in the outskirts of Sofia are rented by people with good incomes who have homes in Sofia but need a high quality property for a short term for their guests.

Because of the recession many sellers drop the prices of their properties to be able to sell them. The number of prices of apartments in the big Bulgarian cities which are under 30 000 Euros have drastically increased in the first three months of this year. One of the reasons for this is the lack of buyers due to the strict rules of the bank for lending. A few months ago all Bulgarian banks stopped lending money for the purchase of apartment in prefabricated blocks from the communist era. After that the banks have sharply increased the mortgage interest rates and have decreased the size of the mortgages, thus have put off many prospective buyers. In reality the Bulgarian property market have moved back to the situation years ago of expensive mortgages.

In Plovdiv 70 apartments are on the market for prices under 30 000 Euros. Only 20 of them are off plan. Prefabricated apartments with total area exceeding 90 sq m are for sale for as little as 13 000 Euros.
In Varna the number of the apartments under 30 000 Euros is 60, the cheapest property is a one-bedroom apartment for 20 000 Euros in the outskirts of the city. There is ever an apartment in the central parts of Varna offered at 30 000 Euros, which is still at the off-plan stage. Prefabricated apartments sell for about 25 000 Euros in the outskirts of Varna.

In the second largest city on the Black Sea, Burgas, the number of apartments on offer are twice more than in Varna but most of them are off-plan and in the outskirts of the city. The cheapest offer, €15 120, is for an off-plan apartment with are of 41 sq m. There are ten prefabricated properties for sale at prices starting at 24 000 Euros. All of them are located in the outskirts of Burgas.

In Russe there are 20 apartments under 30 000 Euros. The cheapest offer is for a studio for 12 900 Euros. Prefabricated apartments start at 15 000 Euros.

While in the country at the moment prices range from 440 to 580 Euros per sq m, in the capital Sofia, the property prices have dropped everywhere, apart from the central parts of the city. The sharpest drop of prices is in the southern parts of the city where there are more unfinished buildings then anywhere else in the city. The prices of prefabricated apartments have fallen more than any other. While last year they used to sell for more than 1000 Euros per sq m, now they are on offer for under 750 Euros per sq. m. Newly finished properties are offered for 700 – 800 Euros sq m. Off-plan apartments are offered for 500 Euros per sq m. Some developers offer discounts of 20 % of the prices of their finished apartments in cases of payment in cash. Others who are stable financially offer 15 leasing schemes to their customers.

Some analysts predict further 15% decrease of the property prices in Bulgaria. However, they do not expect prices to drop before the value.

The advise of the experts is to buy apartments now, while buyers of office and industrial space will have to wait for another 2-3 years for price to fall further down.

The number of purchases in the first three months of this year has fallen three times in comparison with the same period last year.

The recession has led to diversification of the rental market in Bulgaria. Many tenants are unable to pay high rent because of decreasing incomes and the landlords have reacted accordingly – in the last 12 months while in some parts of Sofia rents have increased by 15 %, in others it has decreased by 20%. The area where the property is situated is of primal importance, as well as the condition of the property itself. The size of the property is more and more important. It is very difficult to find studios as they are in demand. Their rent have remained more or less the same in the last twelve months, even in expensive parts of Sofia like Lozenets, Oborishte and Yavorov. In these areas studios can be rented for 250 Euros per month, while in the central parts of the capital the rent has decreased from 291 Euros to 257 Euros. At the same time studios is in the area of the Medical Academy now rent for 22% more than last year, the highest increase in the city.
The rent of one-bedroom apartments in the expensive areas like Boyana have decreased by 25% as there is no demand. In March 2007 a one-bedroom apartment in Boyana rented for 400 Euros per month but now it rents for 300 Euros. The tendency is the same in affluent Dianabadt and Strelbishte, while in Kniazhevo, Lagera and Mussagenitsa rents of one-bedroom apartments have increased by 15%.
The recession is most seriously felt in the renting of two-bedroom apartments. The demand is so limited that although landlords have put down rents, still tenants can not be easily found. The decrease of rents have reached 20% and in upmarket Lozenets such apartment can be rented for 570 Euros on average, which is 100 Euros less than last year.
Generally,the purchase prices of the most popular apartments have gone down to the prices of 2007.

In 2008 the number of newly built properties kept  increasing, according to the new information released by the National Statistics Institute. The number of new buildings has increased by 9% in 2008 in comparison to 2007 and has reached 2939 and the number of apartments in them has increased by 11.5% and has reached 21 041. At the same time the area of the average apartment has decreased by 2 sq. m. from 80.6 sq. m. in 2007 to 78.2 sq. m. in 2008.

The situation on the Bulgarian property market in the beginning of 2009 remains similar to the one in the end of 2008. There are no deals, the number of the properties for sale increase, while serious buyers take their time before they commit themselves to a purchase. The new features are – perks offered by the developers, estate agencies who do not take commissions and the birth of a new type of property in the property web sites – “property with falling prices”. Only on 3 and 4 of January 2009 the number of the properties with falling prices increased to fifteen. In this category the decrease of the prices of  houses beats all other properties  -  15 – 20%. Plots of land are in the second place, closely followed by offices and garages.  House prices fall everywhere – from Sofia to small towns like Smolyan. Even prestigious locations in the centre of Sofia can not prevent prices from falling.  The price of a house in Dondukov Boulevard in Sofia which has been for sale for some time has dropped by 40% to 450 000 Euros. It is difficult to say whether this will attract new buyers. One thing is certain, the Bulgarian property market has entered a period at the end of which the prices of properties will be very different from the price of the last two years.

The developers are the ones who experience the harshest problems. This is the reason why they look for solutions in all possible ways. Apart from dropping the prices, they have started to lease the apartments built by them to buyers with a minimal interest. Their return has been delayed by 15 years in some cases, thus preventing them from making new investments. Other bonuses include fitted kitchens costing up to 3000 lv and in the cases of two-bedroom apartments complete furnishing plus one or two parking lots. Some developers add to this a plasma TV. However, the analysts do not believe that these perks will do the trick and attract more customers. All these bonuses can not solve the problems of the buyers in getting a mortgage.

In the first months of 2008 rentals have increased by 12% in comparison to the same period of 2007. The major reason for this is the constant decrease of the number of purchases caused by the recession and the lack of clarity about the future of the property market.  More and more potential buyers turn towards renting, rather than buying.  This is due to the restrictive politic of the banks and the growing financial uncertainty, as well as the growing expectations for an upcoming decrease of the property prices.

More and more apartments which have been bought for investment are offered for rent. The one bedroom apartment is the mostly in demand – the interest towards renting such kind of apartments have increased by 14% in the first ten months of this year. At the same time the demand for studios has decreased by 6%. This is due to the fact that the rent of the studios and the one bedroom apartments are similar in size.

It is expected that the average price of properties in Sofia will drop by half. Six months ago the middle class apartment used to sell for 1300 Euros per sq.m., while now it sells for 1000 Euros per sq.m., but there are only a few buyers on the market. This trend suggests that within six months the prices will fall to 800 Euros per sq.m. At the moment this is the price for an off-plan property in the up-market Manastirski Livadi district.

The panic due to the global financial crisis, the outflow of foreign investors and the high mortgage interest rate by all means shall have a long term effect on the property market. It is expected that alongside the falling prices, the quality of the construction and of the finishing will increase due to the competition. Completely finished apartments are already on offer and it is expected that developers will come up with new customer orientated payment plans.

Thousands of newly finished apartments remain unsold in Sofia. Developers try to negotiate with potential buyers and offer different incentives only to sell their properties. Many of those who bought as investment try to sell their properties with a small profit or without a profit, just to get their money in cash. They even offer higher commissions to the estate agents in order to sell. The few buyers on the market tend to wait longer before making a purchase and expect to receive more for their money.

Despite the looming global financial crisis. New developments open in the Bulgarian Black Sea resort of Sunny Beach.

Oasis VIP Homes and Blue Pearl Apartment Complex in Sunny Beach will be presented at the largest property exhibition on the Balkans – BalPex. Oasis VIP Homes is the first luxury development of Galaxy Property Group in Sunny Beach. The development is in Mediterranean style with a park of more than 10 000 sq.m. and with three swimming pools. This project includes also Royal Sun development with 530 apartments.

The other project Blue Pearl is a development with apartments situated in the central part of the Sunny Beach. It comprises of 85 apartments overlooking the bay with Nessebar and St. Vlas, 16 shops, barber shop, gym and two swimming pools with a bar.

Despite the financial crisis, the property prices in the suburbs of Sofia have been constantly increasing due to the migration of people from smaller towns and villages who seek employment in the capital. In the last year, more than 30 000 people have relocated to Sofia, while 12 000 people have moved to Varna, the second largest Bulgarian city. The same tendency can be seen in Plovdiv, Russe and Burgas. The newcomers to the cities usually look for cheaper properties in the suburds. As result the prices of apartments in those areas keep rising. The average porperty price in Sofia is 1094 Euros per square metre, while in the county it is 588 Euros per square metre. The studios seem to be very popular and their sales have increased by 17% in the last months. At the same time the demand for one-bedroom apartments have decreased by 28% and of larger apartments by 3%. Most of the sales are of newly built properties.

The Bulgarian banks have introduced tougher rules for lending money after two days of stopping crediting. Now they lend money only for the purchase of properties which can be easily sold if reposessed. Families with total income under 1500 levs per month can not take a mortgage to purchase an apartment in one of the larger cities. To such families the banks offer only small size credits with monthly instalments not exceeding 50 Euros. While in the past the banks were satisfied if the monthly repayment instalments were up to 50% of the total income of a family, now they restrict the instalments to not more than 39% of the monthly income. The average mortgage interest is 8.2% per annum and the average instalment is 360 Euros per month, which is an increas of 40 Euros for the last six moths.

According to Credit Centre the most popular mortgage in Bulgaria at the moment is for a plot of land and a prefabricated house. More and more Bulgarians prefer to move in the outskirts of their cities and to build their own house, rather than to buy an apartment in a block, where two-bedroom apartments are in the same price bracket.

Another new trend is the increasing number of customers who restructure their debt, due to the increase of the interest rate. Many Bulgarians face difficulties repaying their mortgages and some even their utility bills. According to Credit Centre in September each sixth credit has been taken to pay old debt.

In general more than 79% of the mortgages are for the purchase of property and only 1.3% for construction.

Another tendency is that for a second consecutive month the average size of the mortgage has decreased to 43 000 Euros, while during the peak of the property boom it has exceeded 50 000 Euros. Customers freeze their purchase or redirect to a cheaper property. The change is more obvious among the most popular customers – the middle class ones – who used to take a 80 % mortgage for the purchase of one-bedroom apartments. Now these clients are seeking smaller apartments and try to pay a large proportion of the price with their own funds.