Archive for April 2009


Bulgarian Property Martket – Forecast

April 29th, 2009 — 10:15am

The Bulgarian property market has entered into a constant slum and it is expected that the earliest in 2011 it will pick up, according to developers, analysts and estate agents.

This conclusion is based on the expectation for a deep recession in the country in the next two years. Prominent business analysts think that the recovery of the property market in Bulgaria entirely depends on the economic development of the country. The boom of the property market coincided with the economic boom. However, now the forecast of the IMF for Bulgaria is most worrying – recession in the next two years, high unemployment and shrinking of the spending. Traditionally, the economic process in Bulgaria lags behind the one in the developed Western countries. Only in case that Bulgaria starts using the European funds properly and more companies from Western Europe relocate in Bulgaria by 2010 the country will reach the lowest point of the economic recession and the economy will start moving upwards.

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Comment » | Bulgaria, Economy, Property

Bulgarian Property Market – Analysis

April 27th, 2009 — 4:11pm

According to a prominent Bulgarian banker, the property market in Bulgaria has grown at a 45 degrees but later it has dropped like a stone at 90 degrees. According to him in this situation profit or much smaller loss suffer the developers who sell first. According to him in the times of recession for the developers is crucial to have their own capital. The highest risk for him is if the recession lasts longer than expected in which case even companies with rich reserves might see them draining. The investors in property projects in Bulgaria should focus on the Bulgarian buyer and should drop the prices to levels attractive for him. In this way the developers will get cash so much needed during the recession.

According to the prominent banker, the Bulgarian banker should not be accused for the problems in the property industry in the last months. The banks follow the success and in the last years in the property business there have been no losers. The profits have been huge both for the good and for the bad companies regardless of the quality. The positive effect from the recession will be that the profit margins will shrink.

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Comment » | Bulgaria, Property

Mortgages And Property Market

April 24th, 2009 — 5:00pm

The number of mortgages lent in the first two months of the year in Bulgaria is twenty times lower in comparison with the same time last year. In January and February last year the banks lent mortgages to the value of 355 million levs, in the same months of this year the same figure was 18 million levs. The positive effect of the limiting of the landing is that for the first time in two weeks there is a tendency for decreasing the interest rate, although not by all banks. This decrease is of 0.54% for the mortgages in levs and 0.36% for the mortgages in euros. The average mortgage interest at the moment is 9.95%.

However, leading bankers think that in a recession the sensible policy is not to drop the interest rate. They have warned the developers to forget about the Brits and the Irish who used to buy all the properties at the Black Sea resorts and to focus on the Bulgarian customers, in order to survive the recession. It is expected that the Bulgarian property market will suffer mostly in September and October of this year.

According to developers the state must support the construction industry and the property market by pressing the water and electricity suppliers to offer better services.

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Comment » | Bulgaria

Property Prices in Bulgaria

April 23rd, 2009 — 4:45pm

The property prices in Bulgaria have dropped on average by 12.4% in the first three months of the year according to information of the National Statistics Institute. The sharpest price drop was in Veliko Turnovo – 25.1%, followed by Kyustendil – 21.5% and Blagoevgrad – 20.5%. The average price for the country is 1190.7 levs (608 Euros) per sq m. The most expensive apartments are in Varna – 1982 levs (1013 Euros) per sq m, closely followed by Sofia – 1980 levs per sq m.

Now is a good time to buy a property according to estate agents and there are no expectations in the next two years for the property price to start going up.

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Comment » | Bulgaria, Property

Bulgarian Property Market

April 22nd, 2009 — 11:46am

According to some analysts the property market in Bulgaria will reach the bottom by the end of this year. The professionals are of the opinion that it is more important how the Bulgarian property market will start moving rather than when. It seems that the Bulgarian government does not have priorities and the economic recovery will be long and difficult. Around the world the property markets will recover with a different speed and at different times. The huge property markets in the USA and the UK give clear signs to the investors that the prices have become attractive and the expectations are that by the middle of the year there will be an increase in the number of purchases.
Developers operating in Bulgaria have raised their voices to request a more open business environment during the recession and clearer rules concerning their relationship with the state. They outline as a serious problem the behaviour of the electricity, water and heating suppliers which are huge monopolies. The suppliers do not invest in infrastructure but wait for the developers to build it and then buy this infrastructure from them, nobody knows when and how. The developers request that the state regulates these relations.

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